Golden Globes Predictions

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And so tomorrow night are the Golden Globes and prognosticators web-wide have been talking about who is going to win.   No reason for me to do the same, except I must...sort of.

My big prediction is that Julianne Moore is going to need help with the door on the way out...because she will win BOTH lead actress in a motion picture prizes (Drama = "Still Alice" and Comedy/Musical = "Maps to the Stars").  I have read about how it's going to be Amy Adams ("Big Eyes") or Emily Blunt ("Into the Woods") for Comedy/Musical.  No, it won't.  Moore won at Cannes for "Maps" and the HFPA (that's Hollywood FOREIGN Press Association) is often more internationally inclined with their jimmies than are the Oscars.  And, although the HFPA clearly likes "Into the Woods," I don't think they love it...and nobody has nothing to say about "Big Eyes" nohow.  It's more Moore, for shore.

Now, that being said...

Remember twelve years ago?  It's 2003, early Sunday morning, the Globes are that night.  Eggs are frying, prunes are stewing, and Julianne Moore is not only the front-runner for Best Actress - Drama, but is, by most accounts, the defacto winner.  No one is even talking about the possibility of an upset, as she virtually swept the precursor critics' prizes for her stunning work in "Far from Heaven."  And yet, that night, Brad Pitt would announce - with what I still believe was a disappointed envelope slap against his left palm - that the winner was Nicole Kidman for "The Hours."  Breathy and long-winded Musical/Comedy Golden Globe winner Reneé Zellweger would upset and take the prize at the SAG awards setting up, by Oscar time, a full-on Kidman-Zellweger pas de deux with Moore on the sidelines.  Kidman took the Oscar, Zellweger took the Actor, they both took the Globe, and Moore had to be happy with her FIFTEEN critics' prizes and a louder, more loving ovation at the Oscars for presenting than Kidman got for winning.

I don't think that will happen again.

If there is an upset in the drama category, there won't be.  And in Musical/Comedy?  I think Adams, last year's winner for "American Hustle," is out of it.  I'll pick Blunt, who the Globes like, but only as an upset; I'm sticking with my more Moore predic.

Here are my pic picks...my guesses for the motion picture recipients of this year's Golden Globes (with my second place choices in parentheses afterward):

Motion Picture, Drama: "Boyhood" ("Selma")

Motion Picture, Comedy/Musical: "Birdman" ("The Grand Budapest Hotel")

Director: Richard Linklater, Boyhood (Alejandro González Iñárritu, "Birdman")

Lead Actor, Drama: Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything" (David Oyelowo, "Selma")

Lead Actress, Drama: Julianne Moore, "Still Alice" (Me)

Lead Actor, Musical/Comedy: Michael Keaton, "Birdman" (Ralph Fiennes, "The Grand Budapest Hotel")

Lead Actress, Musical/Comedy: Julianne Moore, "Maps to the Stars" (Emily Blunt, "Into the Woods")

Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash" (Edward Norton, "Birdman")

Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, "Boyhood" (Emma Stone, "Birdman")

Screenplay: Richard Linklater, "Boyhood" ("Wes Anderson & Hugo Guinness, "The Grand Budapest Hotel")

That's as far as I go, kids.  Good luck to all!

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